First Responder

Wednesday, November 22, 2006

the sporting life

Baseball Notes




With the announcement of the postseason awards, we are pleased to report the 2006 baseball season officially over, and a pleasant ending it’s turned to be. We have, all of us, just narrowly avoided the reality of an MVP award for Derek Jeter, and so, this Thanksgiving time, as we all of us sit in reflection with our loved ones, lets all of us not fail to think of in gratitude whatever spirit or animal force that saved us from such a fate…


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A Word On Winning…

The Cardinals’ unexpected World Series win serves to underscore the vagaries of the postseason. As Cardinals’ manager Tony LaRussa put it, it’s not the best team that wins, it’s the team that plays the best. So St. Louis, perhaps the 6th “best” team of the 8 in the playoffs, was fortunate to be playing the best at the right time. Assigning too much blame or praise associated with postseason success or failure misses that point. Ripping the Yankees for not winning enough misses the point in exactly the same way ripping the A’s or the Braves does. Records over a whole season tell you how good a team is. Records over 7 games in October tell you how lucky.

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Just to create a sense of how drastically the economic landscape in baseball has changed: the highest team payroll in 1991 was that of the small-market Oakland A’s…and the year before that it belonged to the Kansas City Royals…

…I can’t believe I’m saying this, but can we lay off A-Rod, please? Come on, a run of “soft” (huh?), somehow “un-clutch” hits, and the guy’s a bum? How many reigning MVP’s have gotten booed at home the next season? How many reigning MVP’s have batted 8th in a playoff game? None, never. Give the guy a friggin’ break. I mean, it’s not like he hasn’t produced for you. In three years with the Yankees, the guy’s hit 119 home runs, driven in 357, and won a league MVP. He’s a first-ballot Hall of Famer. Have some patience, for chrissakes…

…and yeah, yeah, I know, New York has no patience, and loves it that way ! O, New York and her vaunted aspirations, her celebrated refusal to accept failure! O, how she prides herself on her soaring expectations of herself! Whatever, shut up. I’m so tired of hearing about the Yankees’ lack of championships since 2000, as if 6 years with only 6 division titles, three ALCS appearances, and two World Series represents some kind of drought. Winning 4 titles in 5 years, that was the anomaly. And considering the 15 years prior that without a sniff of the playoffs, even New Yorkers should be capable of some dim appreciativeness of their current success, which by no means must continue indefinitely, even with the deck perpetually stacked in their favor. After all, even for New York, it’s a fine line between steadfast and irrational.

…It’s time for me to belatedly tip my cap to Detroit Tigers future-Hall-of-Fame catcher Pudge Rodriguez. I ripped Pudge when he followed the money from the playoff-regular Texas Rangers to the atrocious Florida Marlins, and kept ripping him…right up until they won the World Series in 2003. I ripped him again when even more money led him to the even more atrocious Tigers…who then, just a couple years removed from some of the worst seasons any team’s put up in the last couple decades, stormed to this year’s World Series, and were unlucky to lose it. Two cynical free agent moves to two terrible teams, and two World Series. While wary of giving any one player too much credit for an entire team’s performance, you have to give Pudge his due for his not insignificant role in two remarkable turn-arounds. Steroid accusations notwithstanding, Pudge has carved himself out a comfortable place in baseball history…


In Memoriam: What a strange death for Yankees pitcher Cory Lidle, plowing his private aircraft into a midtown Manhattan apartment tower, killing him and his flight instructor (um, how much was this guy charging you, Cory?), with many questions left unanswered. We remember him here in the Bay Area for his capable run as the A’s fourth starter for a time, and now, in light of this tragic circumstance, we may even be inclined to forgive him his disastrous playoff start against the Yankees in 2001. We will not forgive, however, his posthumous meddling in the league’s balance of power. Does it make me a cynic and perhaps a bit macabre if I point out that “mourners” in attendance at the California memorial service included Yankees Derek Jeter, Jason Giambi, manager Joe Torre, general manager Brain Cashman, photo-op lap-dog Reggie Jackson…and A’s uber-free agent Barry Zito? Maybe it does. Even so, sounds like a pretty good recruiting party, doesn’t it? You can just see the 3 or 4 other GMs vying for Zito’s services sitting in front of their tvs (what, I don’t know, the Celebrity Funeral Network?) watching Torre and Giambi hugging the coveted southpaw starter, and screaming Hey, I would’ve signed Lidle if I knew he was gonna die!

…wait, wait a minute here!…Celebrity Funeral Network….That’s a great idea! Go on, tell me you wouldn’t watch it!…

…Zito, by the way, is generally considered to be only interested in/affordable for the four teams in the two big markets, and the four possibilities have wildly differing consequences and appeal from an A’s fan’s perspective. Yankees or Angels? Totally Unacceptable. Dodgers or Mets? Fun and Intriguing! Picture Zito marching into Pac Bell with Dodger Blue on, with his NL-style old-school knee high socks roll, stuffing that swooping curveball of his down the Giant’s throats, a perfectly delicious East Bay scenario! Let’s get Zito into the NL as quickly as possible…



...As the ink lay drying on Frank Thomas’ contract with the Blue Jays, the wild speculation putting Barry Bonds on the A’s had already leaped into full swing. And for good reason; strictly as a pure baseball move, it makes a lot of sense. A’s GM Billy Beane called Thomas the “posterboy” for the A’s type of hitter, but Bonds does all the things valued in Thomas better than anyone. In short, he walks and he hits for power, like nobody else ever has. Stepping out ahead of the buzz, the A’s quickly got the word out that Bonds was not seriously under consideration, that the fans were solidly opposed, that all the baggage and disruption in hosting the Bonds Traveling Circus (not the least of which being the supreme test Barry “clubhouse cancer” Bonds would impose upon the A’s carefully crafted carefree clubhouse chemistry…say that five times quick…) was more than management wanted to take on. An unsurprising stance; what else could they say? But with the subtraction of Thomas’ heavy bat from an already light-hitting team that desperately needs to add, and not lose, significant offense, it’s hard to imagine Beane genuinely having no interest. If he can stay healthy for a full season (a huge “if”, but much more plausible in the American League as a Designated Hitter, with no fielding responsibilities), Bonds is likely capable of at least as much production as Thomas contributed last year, and quite probably more. How many of the available players out there can you say that of? Alfonso Soriano’s already signed, as is Aramis Ramirez, and now so is Moises Alou, a name that had been submitted as a possible Thomas replacement. If the A’s intend to add a bat through free agency this year, well, the pool is drying up fast. Bottom line: with Bonds, they’re as good as last year; without Bonds, their impoverished offense gets even worse. He may not be the only solution for the A’s, but if you’re going to pass on him, you better have a pretty convincing Plan B. Like it or not, the A’s need Bonds…

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

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Midterm Elections Roundup



On the heels of the Democrats’ sweep back into power, the pr machines on both sides have immediately leaped into cycle after cycle of relentless spin, a task they were surely long prepared for, regardless of outcome. And so we’re all able to find our comfort-zone with the results, be it with Fox News, conservative columnists like Charles Krauthammer, or Karl Rove himself telling us there’s no larger meaning to glean; that uncontrollable (if foolishly exasperated) historical trends have merely masked, not derailed, America’s strident Conservative Turn; that we’re likely to see a broad return to power for the Republicans in 2008… or be it with The Dailey Show, liberal columnists like Paul Krugman, or Slate and The New Republic telling us that Rove’s politics of Party Base Extremism worked for a while but have now been thoroughly discredited; that the Republicans have completely alienated the political Center and now risk becoming a regional party, localized solely in the Deep South; that though it may not yet necessarily mark the emergence of a new political era, it certainly marks the end of one. And believe me, they all have plenty of numbers corroborating their version of the story. Is one right, or the other wrong?

One of the oldest term-paper tricks in the book is to cite sources presenting perspective X, then sources presenting competing perspective Y, and then declare shortcomings in both as you present your own more rational, dispassionate analysis concluding that “the reality is somewhere in-between”, something more like X/Y. Most academic texts will use some form of this in the literature review section for the simple reason that it’s always correct, or at least always defensible. So the self-styled “balanced” commentators are finding all sorts of variations of middle ground to stake out, picking parts of each side to agree with, and why not? The Center’s back in the ascendant; it’s cool to be moderate again.

Of course, there are no truisms in politics, nothing unequivocally correct. Still, I think it about right to suggest that as a country we’ll look back at these years as a unique period in our history, and frankly, one that carried us in rather predictable directions in the wake of September Eleventh. I remember my first thought upon taking the full measure of that day’s events was that an immediate counter-balancing wave of conservatism was inevitable, a common reaction to such national traumas, and that it could last a decade or more. It is, to a large degree, to the Republican’s discredit that they could not sustain the wave longer than they did. Karl Rove will undoubtedly be remembered a masterful wizard of electoral politics whose vision and instincts shredded a stack of conventional wisdoms, but his era created him as much as he created his era. To use the old phrase, if Karl Rove had not existed, he would have been invented. Given a social period of sudden insecurity, it should hardly be surprising that a practice of politics bent toward those insecurities should win a degree of purchase.

What should be equally unsurprising, then, is its passing. Even in its invincible, romping heyday, the proposition was never entirely convincing. The recent alliance between Western libertarians and Southern fundamentalists was always a marriage of convenience, held together with spit and string, its dissolution inevitable. This was never to be a “permanent majority” for the simple reason that it was a reflection of such singular times. Extremism is naturally unsustainable, only truly influential in extraordinary circumstance. Bush, hand-in-hand with Rove, was only made possible by his times. He was just plain lucky in 2000, with more Americans voting for Al Gore, and became President for no other reason than that Bill Clinton had opportunity to appoint two Supreme Court justices rather than three. Standing within the full artifice of the War On Terror, drums beating, he won in 2004, re-elected by the narrowest margin of any second-term President in US history. September Eleventh dramatically shaped the direction and force of Bush’s presidency. So why should it be surprising that as the period’s singular circumstance wanes, so should Bush’s influence?


I, myself, like the ballyhooed idea that the overreaching extremism of the collapsed September Eleventh Wave may now set the conditions for an emerging third party, the Centrist Party: economically responsible, environmentally realistic, traditional but pragmatic on social issues, which is all to say driven not at all by pre-set ideology, something all political corners are distancing themselves from. More contending parties would be healthy. Needless to say, that’s a far stretch from here.

The idea, though, that Rove has dug the Republicans into a deep well and has isolated the party in the Deep South overstates the tone of last Tuesday’s election. Rove’s wins are overstated, and so are his losses. Republicans will find power again, Democrats will lose power again, Republicans will win the middle states again, Democrats will elect presidents again, and on and on. Politics wear on the viewer much as sports do; there’s only so long you can watch the little ball go back and forth. So we’ve just had a change in the show we’re watching. Which is all I really wanted from these elections, because the last show had gotten almost unwatchable; terrible directing, terrible acting, with incoherent plotlines...

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…One has to wonder how Joe Lieberman’s feeling these days. After a humiliating defeat in his state’s primary election, thrown to the wolves by his home-state Connecticut Democrats as well as the party’s national planners, he ran as an independent and won a convincing victory. Now he returns to the Senate to work with all those colleagues who may or may not have had a hand in the palace coup attempt to unseat him. Lieberman promises to caucus with the Democrats, and most of his Senate party-mates probably had nothing to do with his trials. Still, when your razor-thin majority rests on the loyalty of someone you just stabbed in the back, it bears watching…


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…Legislation has direct effects on everyday life, but it waxes and wanes, one Congress frequently modifying or completely undoing what another has done. The Judiciary, however, casts a longer shadow. It’s extremely hard to reverse trends in the makeup of federal judges; in fact, there’s really only one way to do so: win elections, wait for old judges to retire, and appoint new judges. So there really is no undoing what past administrations have done, consequences all the more magnified at the exclusive top-rung, the US Supreme Court. When Bush replaced Rehnquist with Roberts it was merely a renewal (albeit a 40 year renewal) of a staunch conservative seat, and did not affect the Court’s balance. When Bush replaced O’Connor with Alito, it was a more significant realignment, trading the Court’s swing vote for a solid conservative. If Bush gets another shot, it may well be to replace John Paul Stevens, the court’s oldest justice, and its most liberal.

Judges are cited every election as a vital reason to vote one way or the other, but it remains true that among the most important results for Democrats in retaking the Senate was the Supreme Court safety net that came with it. It’s the Senate, and not the House, that has authority to review Supreme Court nominations. Now, should there be another Bush nominee, it will necessarily be a compromise, which is to say, a moderate, with far less drastic repercussions for the fate of progressive law. With a Republican Senate, we may well have been looking at another Alito replacing Stevens, which would have obliterated the Court’s balance, and sent any number of would-be split-decision votes to clear conservative wins. Roe v Wade, among many other liberal lynchpin rulings, would almost certainly fall. All for 3,000 votes in Montana…